Sunday, September 12, 2010

I'm Not the Only One Who Knows that the Trend Is Your Friend

Just spotted a fantastic article over at Forex Blog. He talks specifically about trend following trading, riding trends up and down to exploit price moves in the market and the volatility that we currently face.

“Trend-Style” trading is also known as trend-following, and is just as it sounds. Traders identify one-way patterns in specific currency pair(s), and attempt to ride them for as long as possible. Given all of the big movements in currency markets this year, it’s no wonder that trend-following is the most popular. If you look at the 52 week trading ranges for the six most popular USD currency pairs, you can see that highs and lows are often as far as 20% apart. The EUR/USD pair, for example, fell 20% over a mere 7 months. Anyone who sold in December 2009 and bought to cover in June 2010 would have earned an annualized return of 35% without leverage! Even if you had captured only a couple months of depreciation would have yielded impressive returns. In addition, you could have traded the Euro back up from June until August and reaped a 60% annualized return. Best of all, both of these trends (down, then up) unfolded very smoothly, with only minor corrections along the way.

I’m sure serious technical analysts are rolling their eyes at the chart above, but the point stands that trend-following has never been easier and rarely more profitable than it is now. One fund manager summarized, “Trend-following investors are capturing the momentum in several big currency moves. You have so much uncertainty in the world now with regard to inflation or deflation, which typically makes currency markets and interest rates move. That is good for trend followers as it causes volatility, which typically creates good profits.” In other words, there is a tremendous amount happening in forex markets at the moment, and this is reflected in protracted, deep moves in currency pairs, which can change direction without notice and yet continue moving the opposite way for just as long. If you think this sounds obvious, look at historical data (5-10 years) for the majority of currency pairs: while trends have always been abundant, it was only recently that they began to last longer and became more pronounced.

He makes the point that in this current type of market environment for the currency markets, and any market in general for that matter because of the across the board volatility, trend following is the best strategy to pursue. Now that's what I'm talking about!!

If you're interested in learning about how to use this methodology to make money in the markets, to ride stock trends up and down, to truly profit from the stock market in a way that is consistent and proven, you should check out my free video walkthrough of a trend following trading system right here. I take you on my favorite online stock website, show you how to find good stocks to trade, and then how specifically to trade them. All I ask is that you give me 24 minutes of your time, and I'll show you a proven stock market trading strategy to make money in good markets and bad. Check it out right here.

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